Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Romania's dead from/with COVID-19: aquiring the virus in the hospital?

A Romanian newspaper has published a list of all the people who died of coronavirus along with a brief description of their pre-existing conditions.


As expected from other sources, and seen in other countries, we see that most patients had serious pre-existing conditions that would have placed serious limitations on their life expectancy. The average age of the coronavirus deaths isn't vastly below Romanian life expectancy, but, surely, average life expectancy is based on the general population who has fewer health ailments. 

The virus is now spreading through hospitals. Many of the people who died acquired the infection in hospital. We have a cluster of 13 deaths in the Suceava hospital, perhaps along with a few thousand infections. Ironically, one of the dead patients appears to have been hospitalized for plastic surgery. 

The situation clearly calls into question the role of hospitals, doctors and the entire health care system throughout this pandemic. 

On one hand, doctors save lives. There is no doubt about it. Most severely ill patients have a higher chance to live in the hospital than at home. 

In a situation like this, however, when more and more hospitals are going to be full of coronavirus, the positive impact of medicine has to be carefully weighted against the negative impact of hospital-caused infection. Today, that's coronavirus infection, but in general, hospitals are dangerous places. 

Even for coronavirus patients with mild symptoms, going to a hospital is likely to reduce life expectancy through stress and hospital-acquired infections, other than coronavirus. 

It seems like only the really bad cases benefit from medical intervention. 

We must also not forget that really sick patients, with limited life expectancy otherwise, will not be treated. In the patients where treatment is refused, the hospital again has a negative impact on life expectancy, as such a refusal can be stressful and psychologically difficult for the patient. 

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