Romania's 15th, 16th, 17th and 18th coronavirus deaths

-- 63 year old man from Neamt who died in the hospital in Iasi.

-- 70 year old woman from Suceava.

-- another 70 year old woman from Suceava.

-- 76 year old woman from Huedin who died in Cluj. 

All were suffering from co-morbid conditions that typically included both arterial hypertension and diabetes. 

Romanian's experts predict two peaks of the pandemic -- one before Easter towards the middle of April and one after Easter. The number of confirmed cases are around 1000, but those simply depend on the number of tests performed. They expect about 10, 000 cases by the end of the pandemic. They note that all the dead had co-morbid conditions that significantly increased the probability of pulmonary infection and ultimately death.

With Mihai's 0.2% estimate, if herd immunity is achieved when half of the population is infected, we should expect about 20 000 deaths. Since about 800 Romanians die from natural causes every day, some additional deaths spread over a period of two months might not be easily noticeable. Quarantine did start early, and the country is in complete lock-down. So, the numbers could be less. Up to now it seems that many hospitals are infected, which makes treating patients difficult because often doctors and nurses are placed in quarantine. It also makes patients with low immunity and co-morbid conditions more likely to get the diseases when going for their regular treatment.