As I correctly predicted in a previous post, the Coronavirus problem seems to fade away following the peaceful transition of power in the US.
Indeed, the number of new cases is going down, not only in the US, but in a few other countries and, overall, worldwide.
The number of cases is lower for several reasons
— Politically, both patients and health care providers are tired of positives. I suspect, in the current climate of political stability sick people are less likely to seek testing and doctors are likely to test less. Thus, we see fewer cases, in part because we look the other way.
— A good fraction of the people are immune to the virus. This is, again for 2 reasons.
(1) Many people have been infected and have natural antibodies. These confer good protection against a second infection, albeit for a limited time.
(2) An increasingly high fraction of the population has been vaccinated. Again, theses people are unlikely to become infected and not likely to end up in the hospital of tested. While currently, the number of vaccinated people isn’t large enough to have an impact on the overall infection rates, they soon will. They do however impact the number of tests — once people who are vulnerable are vaccinated, their entourage won’t require tests and won’t notice the positives.
The number of deaths has not declined that much yet. Usually, deaths trail infection by a few days.
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