New country emerging in the Wild East?

It's right to look at the news and be worried yet again. Why? the danger of nuclear bombs being used in Russia or anywhere else by Russia or other actors has increased, due to the current instability.

What is the Wagner group?
The Wagner group is an organization with experience in creating new countries. They were the brain and guns involved -- in the birth Crimea, as a short lived independent country that voted to join Russia
-- in the creation of the Donetsk and Luhansk republics that were not recognized by anyone for a long time, but did exist and were, on their own territory and were de facto independent.
-- in the survival of Transnistria that was created with similar technology
-- played some role South Osetia

Now, Wagner controls the city of Rostov on Don and a bit of the Russian coast of the Azov Sea. As they have experience in creating new countries, have an army and now control some territory, the natural thing for Wagner and Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin to do is to declare victory over Ukraine and Russia and make an independent new country. This would pave the way to Ukrainian victory in the war with Russia, and make the West happy. It would also add a buffer zone between Russia and Ukraine, increasing the security of Ukraine, NATO and the EU. Would also make Russia pay a reasonable price in land and blood for the war they caused for no good reason.

Thus, despite being the devil he is, Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin may get American support, like Bin Laden did in Afghanistan when he created the Taliban. Support may also come indirectly through western weapons passed on by Ukraine (the weapons this way would hit Russia, without Ukraine breaking its commitment to not cross the border. ) Prigozhin and Wagner have very good connections in the Russian military and FSB. They have a voice that is hard to silence and may even have access to nuclear weapons. It would be indeed strange if Russian nuclear bombs end up being used by Russians against Russians, within Russia. After all, in wars, in spite of the rethoric, people, their quality of life and their lives have never mattered.

Sure, the same discussion could be had regarding the war between Ukraine and Russia. No matter what anyone says, Ukrainians and Russians are very similar populations, both products of the same Soviet Union. The current war is very much fratricidal and having Russians from Moscow bomb Russians from Kyiv with atomic bombs is very much on the table. While nuclear bombs are yet to be used, the Kakhova Dam burst caused losses and destruction that is comparable to a nuclear bomb. There are very many places in Ukraine and Russia where a nuclear bomb could be dropped with less loss of life and money. Life is cheap in the Wild East, so money matters more.

The breakup of Russia in several independent states was often seen as a possible outcome of the war. Maybe Wagner is the first. Maybe Ramzan Kadyrov who appears loyal to Putin would also want independence for Chechenia, which would make him a little King in his own country.

Maybe. The hope of tomorrow bringing an end to madness and criminal behavior at grand scale, which is what wars have always been, is there again. Maybe by tomorrow we'll know more. The situation is very rapidly evolving.

As of today, Wagner controls territory, like they did when they made new countries before. Wouldn't be surprising if they make a new country. Unlike the others, this one may have Western support and recognition. Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin who has come a long way from being a common criminal in jail, a hamburger salesman, a cook and a warlord. He may yet become a King or Czar or Dictator of his own "democratic" conuntry recognized by the West.