In February, I estimated a fatality rate for COVID-19 of 0.2%. Here is a large scale Icelandic study that puts forward an estimate of 0.3%. The study also suggests antibodies are present four months after infection, which implies reinfection with the same virus strain will not occur.
Since schools have started or are preparing to start throughout Europe, this study is good news. Universities in the US are also testing entire populations of students, and some of the data is public. The kids who test positive are sent home and told to return after three weeks. While some closed soon after they started, I expect we will soon have enough data to open and stay open in spite of COVID-19.
No comments:
Post a Comment